La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1384b90e7214347499f643390cb7268bb34f0e5faabc86c7a3bff65d64d433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,986$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.67 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 63c | 872.94$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.95 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 792.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 63c | 790.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 611.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.76 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 599.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 51c | 590.66$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 569.57$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 54c | 457.51$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 365.45$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 340.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 313$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 63c | 231.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 205.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 183.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 183.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 65c | 152.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 68c | 143.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 69c | 139.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 137.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Yes | 65c | 134.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 68c | 133.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 133.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 118.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 109.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 55c | 101.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 64c | 93.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 68c | 92.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 49c | 85.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 38c | 80.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 59c | 67.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 70c | 50.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 47.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed No | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 36c | 43.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 72c | 40.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 69c | 36.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 51c | 34.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 71c | 32.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 52c | 26.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 49c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked No | 47c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 64c | 24.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 50c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed No | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 51c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 65c | 15.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.