La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4864560b89e2a1a690de17396dc76ae8fe52e466fce69209fae840f111b467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 0c | 32,568$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…b9d4backed Under | 24c | 2,544$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 2,082$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.7 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 13c | 1,643$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.43 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 15c | 1,050$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 15c | 1,050$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 15c | 1,050$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 19c | 1,021$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 71c | 909.86$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 718.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 12c | 650$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +350.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 12c | 650$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 18c | 565.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 15c | 550$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 15c | 465$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 15c | 455.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Over | 44c | 435$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 375.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 348.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 35c | 299.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 77c | 210.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 165.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 68c | 153.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 53c | 149.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 56c | 146.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 45c | 140.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 60c | 116.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 49c | 104.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…c66abacked Over | 29c | 104.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 18c | 96.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 90.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Over | 33c | 83.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 17c | 78.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Under | 40c | 78.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 57c | 70.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 67.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Over | 79c | 66.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 64c | 60.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Over | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 50.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 65c | 50.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…81f0backed Under | 24c | 40.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 40.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 56c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…dcb8backed Under | 32c | 31.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 29.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 73c | 29.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Under | 44c | 24.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 17.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Over | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.