La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c8bdffbf24dd5432b7be82cd42109a46aca4b4d5fb2a7d393b8e5bf201b0581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 0c | 17,077$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 1,287$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.65 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,154$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.75 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,055$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.22 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 767.04$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 628.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 602.73$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 54c | 555.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 46c | 532.38$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 42c | 480.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 417.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 51c | 413.16$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 411.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 45c | 331.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 310.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 65c | 309.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 64c | 238.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 204.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 44c | 203.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 200.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 61c | 198.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 198$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 62c | 190.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 63c | 178.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 40c | 168.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 37c | 160.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 60c | 157.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 60c | 157.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 60c | 157.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 148.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 61c | 129.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 61c | 129.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 31c | 108.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 99.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 38c | 81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Under | 60c | 79.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 61c | 77.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 55c | 74.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 51c | 62.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 65c | 61.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 41c | 56.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 61c | 51.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 47.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 69c | 44.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…366bbacked Over | 27c | 42.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…82c5backed Under | 50c | 38.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 61c | 32.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…2ae8backed Under | 37c | 30.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…f1a9backed Over | 41c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 61c | 25.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 53c | 24.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e12bbacked Under | 55c | 18.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)CD Castellón won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.