Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77acfe514a2a3159fc7b313b224c2d96a0b5f45268f2cd3d8d52138c74932e33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 8,833$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.62 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 34c | 7,416$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 5,946$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 1c | 5,455$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 5,231$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.98 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,039$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.9 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 989.8$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.02 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 71c | 840$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 65c | 690$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +174%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 31c | 675.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 56c | 530.28$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 31c | 467.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 56c | 243.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 240.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 63c | 207.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 46c | 197.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 59c | 192.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 18c | 144.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 79c | 110.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…00c2backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2186…271bbacked Yes | 33c | 91.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 50c | 90.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 84.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…0935backed Yes | 47c | 76.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 37c | 71.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 70.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…dd54backed Yes | 33c | 70.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 19c | 66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 79c | 63.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 40c | 61.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 33c | 60.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 28c | 60.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 33c | 59.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 58.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 58.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 45c | 51.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 50.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked No | 73c | 49.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 43.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 43.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 39c | 42.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 45c | 40.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 31c | 40.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Yes | 31c | 36.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 31c | 35.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…2758backed Yes | 72c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 56c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-03-19?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.