Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fea55ba37ca8e6141de483def47c4079f5ab16a3a6731e283965261ac372bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 10,404$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.58 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 4,100$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 3,943$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.7 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 12c | 3,415$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 3,348$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 3,053$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.04 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 2,426$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 34c | 1,632$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.83 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 1,461$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.46 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 1,306$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,063$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 70c | 928.82$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 24c | 411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 26c | 346.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 284.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 39c | 270.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 9c | 215.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 14c | 210.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 60c | 201.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 196.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 20c | 186$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed No | 58c | 171.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 49c | 165.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 141$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 126.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 60c | 99.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 34c | 82.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…8e08backed Yes | 26c | 71.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked No | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…7c65backed No | 64c | 68.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked No | 62c | 64.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 60.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed No | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…1a3cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1911…ebf8backed No | 58c | 48.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 69c | 45.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 30c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed No | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked No | 54c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…0cbdbacked Yes | 50c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed No | 61c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.