Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2cd5d88461d6a018582a9dfdc1b6b056ac596d3753e2bf4d73f075959703b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,756$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 27c | 1,435$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 28c | 1,196$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 641.29$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 73c | 568.74$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 74c | 512.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…ab35backed No | 73c | 471.15$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 73c | 464.95$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 327.4$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 74c | 190.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 173.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 12c | 144.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 144.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 73c | 109.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 12c | 107.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 76c | 103.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 10c | 103$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 27c | 82.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 73c | 77.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 58.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 49.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 47.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 72c | 33.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 79c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 73c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.