Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7c9b8b0798a562fcac89d37bd788340ab2b15e92f169be9074c90864dcccc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,328 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 5,787$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.08 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 54c | 4,348$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.11 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 35c | 3,263$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.9 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 53c | 1,985$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 1,664$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.33 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,249$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.95 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,228$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.93 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 46c | 999.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 480.1$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 52c | 457.51$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 410.58$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 365$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 32c | 297.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 50c | 237.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 125.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 47c | 124.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 30c | 103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 93.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 84.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 51c | 81.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 66.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 53c | 60.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Yes | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes | 50c | 54.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 48c | 50.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 50c | 48.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 23c | 42.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 49c | 35.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed No | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…67e1backed Yes | 50c | 31.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 51c | 28.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Yes | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 74c | 20.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)SS Lazio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.