Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1826a406992c359f15982d209de14455e90a753d71030d70405cc26065b7801c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $111,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over	46c	39,739$18,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,107.11	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	21,830$12,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,975.55	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	56c	8,000$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,520	210	58.6%123 W · 87 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over	46c	7,930$3,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,648.01	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	53c	5,401$2,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,532.26	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over	48c	2,965$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.51	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over	45c	2,717$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.85	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under	54c	2,175$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	54c	2,143$1,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.78	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	61c	1,489$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.92	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	54c	1,304$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.53	260	40%104 W · 156 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under	53c	1,276$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	62c	1,247$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.63	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	31c	1,218$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.64	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under	71c	1,020$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.06	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	54c	833.07$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.5	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Under	54c	693.91$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.2	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	45c	570.8$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.37	405	49.6%201 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	44c	563.28$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.84	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	75c	422.11$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.86	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	33c	365.82$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.71	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over	47c	345.89$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.57	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	54c	319.2$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.83	346	43.4%150 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under	59c	289.65$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.24	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	59c	275.74$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.39	232	44%102 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under	54c	275.36$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.67	139	46%64 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over	44c	270.43$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.97	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+21%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	9c	259.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	99	37.4%37 W · 62 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over	43c	254.86$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.59	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under	54c	238.65$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.78	222	37.4%83 W · 139 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	43c	232.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.18	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	43c	230.56$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.14	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	57c	228.03$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.05	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under	63c	221.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Over	47c	210.91$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.13	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	54c	202.69$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.03	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over	32c	200$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over	47c	188.68$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.68	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	54c	178.25$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.99	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over	33c	150.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.61	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over	8c	149.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	63c	134.34$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.71	103	53.4%55 W · 48 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under	55c	126.17$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.78	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under	58c	124.17$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.28	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	67c	110$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over	47c	105.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	54c	102.09$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.66	195	42.6%83 W · 112 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	55c	100.13$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.06	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over	42c	99.15$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+7.9wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	56c	98$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.52	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	62c	97.76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	58c	92.97$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.05	460	47.4%218 W · 242 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	19c	85.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	54c	80.77$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.93	652	54.1%353 W · 299 L	+19.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	59c	75.88$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	29c	68.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over	42c	66.1$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	58c	64.51$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.09	418	54.8%229 W · 189 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	47c	63.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	89	65.2%58 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.9	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under	54c	54.58$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.11	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	131	46.6%61 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	44c	49.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	92	57.6%53 W · 39 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Under	54c	48.57$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.34	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	31c	48.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	59c	43.53$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.8	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	58c	42.74$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under	58c	42.74$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over	48c	41.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	129	46.5%60 W · 69 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x526e…a03cbacked Over	42c	39.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	59cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	42c	39.66$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+15.5wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd9f8…2139backed Under	57c	38.01$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.22	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under	56c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+7.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	73c	32$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9921…63b6backed Over	44c	26.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Under	55c	24.69$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.03	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Under	61c	23.47$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under	55c	22.47$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.11	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Under	60c	19.83$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.93	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	171	42.7%73 W · 98 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Under	55c	18.84$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under	61c	18.48$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.13	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Under	70c	14.89$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.47	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	53cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Over won
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)SS Lazio won
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)SS Lazio won
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)SS Lazio won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event