La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67cd19190bd529aee7e4b19480fd14b8f97253d6e18bd3e1764ac4f6b65b4213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 6,657$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed Yes | 64c | 1,952$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 64c | 1,560$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Yes | 64c | 1,554$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 1,083$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.37 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 37c | 1,053$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 985.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 64c | 884.74$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 63c | 872.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 7c | 845.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 719.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.82 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 648.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 63c | 590.68$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 580.89$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 563.61$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 62c | 546.28$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 65c | 526.28$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 37c | 488.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.62 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 415.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 36c | 365.45$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 64c | 313.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 63c | 298.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 242.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 234.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 65c | 231.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 64c | 209.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 37c | 203.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 65c | 197.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 195.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…cfc2backed No | 37c | 189.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 64c | 176.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 64c | 165.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 64c | 164.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 37c | 88.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed No | 38c | 78.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Yes | 79c | 74.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 21c | 72.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…4ca9backed Yes | 64c | 68.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 64c | 67.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af0…a4d3backed Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 19c | 62.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 80c | 61.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 26c | 56.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Yes | 64c | 55.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…d21cbacked Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 37c | 50.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 74c | 49.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 37c | 46.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 46.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 37c | 45.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 37c | 45.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 64c | 44.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 37c | 41.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 33.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Yes | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 37c | 30.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 63c | 21.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…5a4abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c191backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…4e0abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-29?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-29?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.