La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88bf38df087dc0be8dc4849545b92ad043bb89f88ddf91e03c79e0bb07182f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc954…1c82backed No | 56c | 3,133$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 1,763$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.55 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 876.75$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 55c | 724.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 46c | 653.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.72 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 44c | 597.84$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 57c | 430.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 378.37$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 53c | 279.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 76c | 263.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 43c | 156.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 121.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 56c | 117.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 57c | 115.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 57c | 115.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 45c | 111.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked No | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 53c | 85.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed No | 56c | 77.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 43c | 39.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 76c | 36.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: Burgos CF (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.