La Liga · resolved market
Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618843a1242e2f26a86e40c85e1d202d34c9b908dae83bf5ecac73000e497efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,183$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 945.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.05 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 65c | 846.12$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 66c | 676.11$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.11 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 60c | 605.58$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 257.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 231.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 67c | 216.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 189.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 35c | 153.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 36c | 150.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 30c | 149.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 36c | 146.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 36c | 145.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 36c | 145.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 36c | 139.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 135.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 132.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 35c | 129.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 63c | 124.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 124.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 26c | 124.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 36c | 119.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…0f5ebacked Over | 62c | 115.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 32c | 98.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 91.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 35c | 49.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 36c | 33.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Over | 67c | 29.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…f115backed Over | 65c | 27.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 66c | 27.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)Burgos CF won
- Spread: Burgos CF (-1.5)AD Ceuta FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.