MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46a1822bf46d312cdece648cc8c1eb264d7b7fae7730555b6b35c405e8b0ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Tigers | 75c | 11,679$8,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.52 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Phillies | 31c | 11,116$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.6 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 51c | 6,481$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.64 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Tigers | 46c | 5,930$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 54c | 4,260$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Phillies | 7c | 3,215$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Tigers | 48c | 3,200$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.49 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Tigers | 51c | 2,867$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.59 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 51c | 2,421$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.66 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 5c | 2,100$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.68 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Tigers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.72 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Phillies | 53c | 1,422$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 14c | 1,409$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,223$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.19 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Tigers | 49c | 1,117$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 51c | 1,099$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.54 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 49c | 918.54$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 7c | 877.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 24c | 793.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Phillies | 6c | 700$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers | 51c | 650.27$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.63 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 26c | 584.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers | 52c | 582.69$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Tigers | 49c | 578.2$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 72c | 526.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Phillies | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Tigers | 78c | 489.67$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Tigers | 51c | 486.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…3bb0backed Phillies | 53c | 472.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…eb68backed Phillies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 51c | 399.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Tigers | 48c | 393.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 47c | 378.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Phillies | 49c | 307.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.73 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Phillies | 7c | 300.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Phillies | 56c | 300.05$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Phillies | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Tigers | 48c | 299.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Tigers | 48c | 288.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Tigers | 48c | 265.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 8c | 253.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Phillies | 44c | 241$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers | 65c | 221.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Tigers | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Phillies | 49c | 208.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Tigers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Tigers | 48c | 198.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.14 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 51c | 188.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Phillies | 12c | 185.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Phillies | 56c | 177.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Tigers | 78c | 159.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Tigers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Tigers | 52c | 147$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Tigers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Phillies | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Phillies | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers | 78c | 140.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Tigers | 78c | 138$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Phillies | 54c | 129.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Phillies | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tigers | 71c | 115.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Tigers | 77c | 113.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Phillies | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Tigers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Phillies | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Tigers | 52c | 75.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…269ebacked Phillies | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Tigers | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 19c | 73.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Phillies | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Tigers | 77c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Tigers | 77c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Phillies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Tigers | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 53c | 56.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Phillies | 49c | 52.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.