MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfc07e1b78d3316440a016fd978036db3bfdf9de7f0b5f4a9747fa22965d09d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Braves, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 43c | 26,616$11,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,454.64 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 43c | 12,944$5,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565.94 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 35c | 5,890$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.19 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Braves | 43c | 5,020$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Phillies | 80c | 4,230$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 54c | 4,146$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Braves | 40c | 3,949$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Phillies | 57c | 3,821$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.03 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 57c | 3,737$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.84 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 43c | 2,790$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Braves | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 38c | 2,470$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 56c | 2,280$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 55c | 2,080$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.19 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 56c | 2,018$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.85 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 55c | 1,985$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Phillies | 60c | 1,938$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves | 47c | 1,812$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.55 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Braves | 79c | 1,733$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 49c | 1,563$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.85 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 65c | 1,408$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.36 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Braves | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 42c | 1,201$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.42 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Braves | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 48c | 1,036$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Phillies | 62c | 979.5$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 49c | 974.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 45c | 924.78$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 43c | 832.58$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 49c | 820.8$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 38c | 786.8$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.78 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 26c | 775$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 43c | 749.97$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Braves | 37c | 732.39$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 51c | 707.58$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Phillies | 47c | 674.47$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 56c | 653.6$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.59 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 60c | 645.78$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 38c | 634.25$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 41c | 585.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 41c | 560.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 43c | 528$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Phillies | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Braves | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 53c | 439.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 52c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Braves | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…1211backed Phillies | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Phillies | 59c | 398.63$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Braves | 76c | 397.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Braves | 47c | 366$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Phillies | 57c | 362.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Phillies | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Braves | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Braves | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves | 43c | 275.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Phillies | 60c | 258$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Phillies | 71c | 247.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Phillies | 73c | 243.93$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 72c | 240.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 23c | 236.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Phillies | 61c | 235.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Braves | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Braves | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Philliesthis page
- Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.