TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,143 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No66c59,052$38,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,893.931741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c55,073$24,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,106.861,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No60c32,741$19,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,585.656952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c17,998$7,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,801.9487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes36c16,211$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,372.4637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No61c8,224$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9952466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2227…57eabacked Yes41c8,142$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c6,752$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.861,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No21c3,966$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No59c3,600$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.982642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes39c3,323$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.1712839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c3,284$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.0121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked No8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+701.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c2,939$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.9923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c2,608$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.1352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes46c2,287$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.3348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes41c2,269$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.0131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c2,133$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.3238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c1,740$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.4628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c770.23$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes40c693.14$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes35c603.7$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.112437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36013844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c501.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No59c496.04$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes41c488$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.927648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No59c447$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes42c440.95$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.753655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No59c422.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.562441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes40c412$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes41c408.59$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.592857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes37c383.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1918155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed No4c350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes36c327.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c326.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8516224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes31c323.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.523751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No59c300.01$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes39c298.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.353647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes39c279.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.41540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No60c262.08$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.874969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No60c218.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.241450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes51c215.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No58c206.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0512050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5de…882dbacked No62c197.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…79aabacked No60c186.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No58c179.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3911250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No59c176$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.842548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ea…3095backed Yes41c172.81$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.432166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbc…8bf1backed Yes41c171.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes40c166.95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b14…4af0backed No60c157.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No14c149.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182f…f417backed Yes41c133$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes42c119.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.131291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+85.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes38c118.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ad…0091backed Yes41c118$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No23c113.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.77953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes40c106.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.949256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19fd…4533backed No19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No59c102$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.187138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe261…08e3backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No59c96.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2220454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes31c89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4124051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Yes46c82.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No58c81.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.187946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3511…17c3backed Yes41c80.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298e…60dcbacked Yes42c74.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes39c72.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4313348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed No60c72.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Yes42c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes40c69.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No25c68.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No64c67.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.398434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…5ca7backed No60c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7818245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6b…a8a5backed No60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.524148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…a059backed Yes42c56.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes61c55.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c53.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8915951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d3…2432backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No60c44.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.810855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebe…4a6abacked No60c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.