TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Twins, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$470,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels54c94,323$50,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,388.738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins48c41,729$20,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,177.1463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Twins46c39,920$18,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,363.417156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels51c23,463$11,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,496.843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Angels52c21,200$11,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,175.999666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels52c17,154$8,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,234.041,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Twins46c14,554$6,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,694.8498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels59c12,625$7,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,228.3869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Twins47c10,628$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.0411759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels54c10,136$5,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.362,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Angels51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Twins46c8,178$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.9378445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Twins49c7,492$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67144456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins46c6,147$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.811,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Angels54c5,094$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.264057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Angels52c5,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42013247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Angels51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels55c4,895$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.711,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins46c3,950$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81749250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins32c3,879$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.141,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins48c3,502$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.961,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels56c3,290$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Angels51c3,204$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.5521847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…74e5backed Twins33c3,116$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Angels52c3,030$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.49135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Angels51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Angels52c2,419$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.1220747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Twins46c2,120$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.220850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins46c1,743$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.8934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels53c1,589$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Angels52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9932651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Angels69c1,498$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.3131248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Angels67c1,498$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.632176.2%16 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+78.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Angels56c1,474$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.5624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Twins39c1,287$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.71,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Twins29c1,040$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7315033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Angels75c1,017$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Angels57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Twins45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins44c920.88$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1922142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins45c887.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.591,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Twins49c865$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.217354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Twins60c827.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins46c770.2$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.291,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Twins46c743.56$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.045658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Twins14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Twins51c683.63$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.652138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Angels53c660$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.29240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Angels56c642.86$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8610451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Angels52c625$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Twins46c601$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.463855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Angels53c572$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8426650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c2…0f74backed Angels53c512.58$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.912751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Angels62c511.94$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6616947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Angels75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12540352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Angels52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Angels53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23551953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Twins45c446.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Twins46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Twins44c423$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1212857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Angels72c418.17$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.091040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels62c414.23$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.364,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Angels55c399.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5435245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4e…62d5backed Twins50c397.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c4…631fbacked Twins41c378.51$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Angels53c375.62$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.623650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Angels52c357.38$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Twins48c328.77$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8114055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Angels60c307.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Angels74c293.03$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Angels52c284.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.210646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Twins47c272$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.81,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins29c271.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.316,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Twins37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Twins39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16a1…24f8backed Angels56c250.89$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.032536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Angels50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1256949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Angels56c249.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9912152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Twins41c246.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9519852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Angels57c233.33$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3366645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Twins45c231.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Twins46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Twins46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Twins46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Twins30c217$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Twins46c217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8224346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9466751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Twins44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Twins44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Angels56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked Twins44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Twins44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Twins44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Twins44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.