MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c6583083d3ff9d1f6dde2195ff21328ec95fc453bedb04bb1f333f72f0864b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 32c | 2,065$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.54 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Under | 62c | 1,618$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.08 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 45c | 1,541$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.05 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 954.96$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Over | 46c | 954.96$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.28 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 24c | 676.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…b26dbacked Under | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 263.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Over | 44c | 191.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Under | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Twins vs. AngelsAngels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.