MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x531f02040dc28bcf6115046fa7d495513e0c2ffe6b712ebed6464a4a334c25ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Twins | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 60c | 16,893$10,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,757.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Twins | 42c | 15,644$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570.37 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 52c | 9,834$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.95 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 56c | 7,887$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.46 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 54c | 4,842$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.33 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 38c | 4,064$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.23 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 58c | 4,028$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 48c | 3,544$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.49 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 62c | 3,483$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.54 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 46c | 3,476$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Padres | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.99 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Padres | 58c | 3,177$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Padres | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 52c | 2,645$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.71 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 54c | 2,593$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 48c | 2,335$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 60c | 2,317$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Padres | 59c | 1,663$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Twins | 42c | 1,281$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 43c | 982.35$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 47c | 883$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 45c | 860.07$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Padres | 67c | 783$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 39c | 769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 54c | 724.97$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 42c | 625$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Padres | 59c | 563$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 59c | 534.92$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Padres | 56c | 516.36$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.86 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Padres | 56c | 496.43$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 55c | 474.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 53c | 379.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Padres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 59c | 332$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 44c | 328.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 62c | 326.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Padres | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Twins | 7c | 272.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…9945backed Twins | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins | 42c | 225$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Twins | 65c | 224.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Padres | 56c | 220.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 48c | 195.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 9c | 188.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 60c | 176.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Padres | 58c | 172.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Padres | 62c | 163.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Padres | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Padres | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 37c | 122.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Twins | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Padres | 68c | 118.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Twins | 18c | 112.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 55c | 110.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 57c | 108.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Padres | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 63c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Padres | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Padres | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Padres | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 43c | 84.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Padres | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Padres | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Padres | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Padres | 58c | 64.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 48c | 64.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Twins | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Padres | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Padres | 39c | 53.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Padres | 58c | 52.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Padres | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Padres | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Padres | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Padres | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Twins | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Padres | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Twinsthis page
- Padres vs. Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.