TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Yankees, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Yankees49c315,195$154,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,395.6212043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins51c84,450$43,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,199.486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins51c83,515$42,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,915.3122852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins51c36,000$18,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,64048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yankees43c30,704$13,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,195.318837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins51c29,273$14,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,436.7524553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Marlins55c22,046$12,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,016.317156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Marlins60c10,605$6,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.7654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Marlins50c7,047$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.2550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4301,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Marlins56c6,733$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.4838444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins51c6,698$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.322,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins56c6,569$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yankees50c3,283$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yankees49c3,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46013247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Marlins51c2,674$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yankees48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Marlins51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Marlins59c1,453$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.51,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Marlins51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6869843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Marlins51c1,150$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yankees50c1,022$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Yankees1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yankees52c1,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins52c980$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins67c796$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16d…3e8dbacked Yankees38c779.79$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Marlins51c726$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Marlins47c686.55$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8718748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees15c649.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins52c631.12$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.491,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins68c612.91$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.374,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yankees10c588.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Marlins71c542.08$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1132754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees37c539.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Yankees34c527.69$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0221246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ab…3bb0backed Marlins52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins72c440$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins55c427.16$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Marlins69c404$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.243951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yankees40c377.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0139160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Yankees50c339$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5512552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins47c319.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.081,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yankees49c313.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.555050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins74c308.51$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Yankees37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11111331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Marlins62c299.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1592,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins51c294.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.551,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d8…8211backed Yankees35c283.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees30c270$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Marlins71c267$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.119052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yankees40c265.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.198940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins46c260.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yankees25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Marlins69c257.92$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2514565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Marlins69c257.65$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4312868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Marlins68c257.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Marlins69c257.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9127458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins64c252.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0245749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yankees51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins75c246.62$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.392,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins48c243.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8238949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees51c219.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.191,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Marlins69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3918155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees6c214.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.284754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yankees48c208.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3140548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Yankees49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Marlins49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5936…4c34backed Yankees52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045250%26 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Yankees52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…ca51backed Yankees52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…af2cbacked Yankees52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Yankees52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0900…ced0backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fd…1753backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…70c6backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d6…e499backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045149%25 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7f…8250backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…752cbacked Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd69…8706backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3157…d2f9backed Marlins48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1045147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.