MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176540631514c3786c0ea86a2dd64e39f62c80f2c232f94a11eae70649a54b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $758,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $806,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 55c | 414,136$227,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227,185.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 119,199$53,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,484.78 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 109,944$49,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,469.43 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 52,026$23,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,614.33 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 55c | 47,399$26,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,069.51 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 36,819$16,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,046.21 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Giants | 52c | 33,985$17,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,669.35 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 33,464$15,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,329.31 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 30,405$13,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,718.64 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 54c | 26,767$14,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,586.49 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 22,394$14,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,948.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 20,352$9,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,894.52 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 18,500$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,805 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 17,722$8,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 17,069$8,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,875.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 4c | 15,210$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 12,700$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,983 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Giants | 52c | 12,424$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,430.36 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 9,413$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.33 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants | 52c | 6,807$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.66 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 6,076$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.94 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 5,703$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.54 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,420$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.46 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,217$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,011$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.99 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 4c | 4,710$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Giants | 53c | 4,552$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 4c | 4,116$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Giants | 54c | 4,111$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.94 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,520$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 54c | 3,148$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Giants | 1c | 3,094$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 9c | 2,804$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…a343backed Giants | 55c | 2,740$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,684$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.68 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,313$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,248$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,126$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Giants | 51c | 1,488$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Giants | 52c | 1,471$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 71c | 1,388$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,333$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.44 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 13c | 1,320$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 983$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.63 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 949.18$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.05 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 933$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Giants | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 827.16$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 52c | 768.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 53c | 694.49$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Giants | 31c | 614.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 572$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Giants | 51c | 527.62$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.09 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Giants | 56c | 514$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 506.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 502.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 19c | 491.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 412.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 399.34$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Giants | 11c | 397.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 386$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 357.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 343.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 343.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…6b44backed Giants | 15c | 306.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 289.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 218$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 18c | 211.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Giants | 50c | 210$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Giantsthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.