TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,997 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis38c3,500$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.525,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis57c1,119$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.464,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Sinners48c1,092$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.7625337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners17c1,042$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.042,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Nemesis58c935.89$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.843,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sinners62c901.62$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.5487244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Sinners62c899.99$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9916653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Nemesis40c759.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.1152236.8%192 W · 330 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sinners49c703.62$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Team Nemesis39c656.51$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.7617131%53 W · 118 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners33c583.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.564,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis39c441$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.015,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Sinners62c386.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9238452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Sinners61c375.6$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1210445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4fb…3e92backed Team Nemesis76c375.52$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.525862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis60c329.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.296,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Sinners62c317.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1973354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sinners7c300$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Sinners61c282.18$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1322142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Sinners44c272.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8315923.3%37 W · 122 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Sinners38c257.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.728444%37 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sinners21c214$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.538037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…24d2backed Sinners62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sinners51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Sinners62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Sinners62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Sinners32c155.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6430527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Team Nemesis39c150$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed Sinners64c149.83$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8910663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sinners61c135$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3554348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked Sinners17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.13834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Team Nemesis39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.350340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9f65backed Team Nemesis39c127$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sinners61c124.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.131,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis63c116.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3280744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Nemesis40c110$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Nemesis63c101.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9752755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Sinners63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6319252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sinners62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.122931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis76c89.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Team Nemesis53c88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9824549.8%122 W · 123 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Nemesis63c87.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3544743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Sinners59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.156735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed Sinners62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Sinners25c80.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.943718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Nemesis70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.746843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Team Nemesis61c71.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.142937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Sinners59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.491648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Team Nemesis58c64.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9912058.3%70 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team Nemesis57c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6848948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Sinners45c61.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.538636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Team Nemesis57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6827443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Team Nemesis56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.28847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sinners35c59.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.922,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Sinners46c57.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3629840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Sinners51c57.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.364843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb41a…a59abacked Team Nemesis67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…88dfbacked Sinners61c49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Sinners62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Team Nemesis65c46.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4637841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed Team Nemesis54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Team Nemesis66c45.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.786157.4%35 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Sinners38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sinners62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.818063.9%115 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Sinners62c38.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9440247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Team Nemesis39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4631532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbecd…9cd0backed Sinners61c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Team Nemesis35c35.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2416750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Sinners43c34.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Sinners61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Sinners62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.624850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161f…d3f4backed Sinners63c29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Nemesis56c25.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3521956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Nemesis52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1238844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sinners42c23.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0229547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed Sinners62c23.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.622556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Sinners62c20.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66d6…4bc9backed Team Nemesis62c20.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed Sinners63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.633451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Sinners50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f50…e59ebacked Sinners62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.411758.1%68 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed Sinners55c18.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.016048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Sinners66c18.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f4…07b6backed Team Nemesis77c14.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.321782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.