TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ARCREDof ARCRED, 5Actors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,209 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x861f…a189backed ARCRED52c2,754$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.5492152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked ARCRED55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9975356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 5Actors48c1,825$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.787,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x288d…8261backed 5Actors41c1,213$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 5Actors45c1,124$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.014,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 5Actors42c1,032$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3980744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc761…0470backed 5Actors30c857$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked ARCRED72c806.05$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7710445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed 5Actors46c736.16$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.761,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…00dfbacked ARCRED59c718$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf248…72bfbacked 5Actors73c710.42$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.184557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 5Actors33c708.37$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.35,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 5Actors45c695.81$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.526,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b56…ee03backed 5Actors34c539$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 5Actors26c517.93$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.845,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb206…090dbacked 5Actors28c497$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b4…70abbacked ARCRED72c497$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…0608backed ARCRED59c494$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed 5Actors46c460$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.656938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed 5Actors45c456.32$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20511365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ARCRED52c443.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1136253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed 5Actors47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed 5Actors45c392.55$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7465946.9%309 W · 350 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e4…a1c6backed ARCRED70c390$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e6b…321fbacked ARCRED70c346$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked ARCRED60c337.07$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7616235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf899…1dc3backed ARCRED66c316$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed ARCRED48c313.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7940234.6%139 W · 263 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed 5Actors30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed 5Actors39c294.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8752947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 5Actors26c254.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.163,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked ARCRED68c245.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4847047.9%225 W · 245 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed ARCRED70c234.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1538839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed 5Actors45c220$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.31,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ARCRED55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9095642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked 5Actors45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked ARCRED74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5318063.9%115 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 5Actors28c194.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.021,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed ARCRED56c179.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.226647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417a…76abbacked ARCRED66c175$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ARCRED67c163.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0370038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked ARCRED71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.66858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x796c…49dbbacked ARCRED79c137.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.532969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed 5Actors39c132.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0743239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked 5Actors30c128.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96f…51d0backed ARCRED70c121$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1a…9bdbbacked ARCRED71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc4…af2fbacked 5Actors37c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed 5Actors22c113.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.362,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed ARCRED70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked ARCRED71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed ARCRED66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3410663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0659…ae36backed ARCRED73c95.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed ARCRED40c93.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8813446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed ARCRED54c86.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7332951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed 5Actors46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.129153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed 5Actors49c79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0996049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed ARCRED52c76.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0529840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 5Actors29c67.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10dc…71cbbacked ARCRED63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed 5Actors24c60.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.685022%11 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f1…1809backed ARCRED63c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+156.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed ARCRED67c51.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.885147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed ARCRED39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed ARCRED70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1585946.1%396 W · 463 L-1.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed ARCRED70c46.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.022556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa703…3ce9backed ARCRED66c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed 5Actors49c40.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc446…e373backed ARCRED77c40.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed ARCRED40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2424535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked ARCRED66c39.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5445956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked ARCRED66c35.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2533939.2%133 W · 206 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed ARCRED76c31.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.652240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed 5Actors62c31.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33729.7%11 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0122…f1aabacked ARCRED70c30.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.131478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 5Actors47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.129547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed ARCRED71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1717837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54b…8f61backed ARCRED56c27.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked ARCRED60c27.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9118751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed 5Actors50c26.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2341054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed ARCRED51c24.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.93658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd63…22a8backed 5Actors63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked ARCRED71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.832351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.