TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61ce…ed13backed Yes37c55,492$20,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,597.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No63c40,931$25,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,144.348756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No63c33,025$20,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,219.297455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes25c16,402$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.1823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes37c14,258$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.5650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No63c13,000$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.978041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c11,185$7,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.611,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c10,308$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.84,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes37c9,263$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.3511146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c7,714$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.012,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5905757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes37c6,072$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.5512236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes37c4,054$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1253857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.961330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c2,537$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No63c2,195$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes38c1,785$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes12c1,600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.673724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.55141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No63c1,190$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.38251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No63c1,158$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes10c1,095$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.043040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c1,027$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes15c1,009$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29622552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No64c767.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.820245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c717$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25922746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes14c691.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.621315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes37c675.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.875446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes15c674.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e2…dc8fbacked Yes38c674.44$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes22c636$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3613249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes37c635.14$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes26c608$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.23441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes36c605.73$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0628055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Yes37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c598$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c538.87$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2427854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes3c518.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c499.97$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9921355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No63c498.12$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2919255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes20c492.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-77.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes20c488.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007630.3%23 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes37c486.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No64c426.71$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6717032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71c…9fc7backed Yes37c426.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes37c402.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14817326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Yes39c390.95$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.114748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No64c360$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.612951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Yes38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.022250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes35c341.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7241147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes35c314.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09de…49b8backed Yes38c312.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes9c300.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.128732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11127652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11119750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11129053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11131751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c283.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd63d…8c40backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-76.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c261.4$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes39c257.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes37c247$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe12…c26fbacked No63c245.63$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5930…012bbacked Yes38c226.87$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd033…a7c1backed Yes37c213.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7356…0b03backed Yes29c208.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711e…37e2backed Yes38c206.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No63c206.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.346160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7421051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.