TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Nexus (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
aimclubof aimclub, Nexus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,801 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf988…d63bbacked aimclub70c2,388$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.0635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nexus72c2,239$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.3884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Nexus4c2,025$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.991,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked aimclub39c1,578$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.97,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed aimclub51c1,545$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.051,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x883a…73b0backed Nexus59c1,318$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.5211054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2603…90b3backed aimclub25c1,154$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.644131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus42c1,080$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.76,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked aimclub49c1,072$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.332,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Nexus54c934.86$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.899353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Nexus67c858.33$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.528146.9%38 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nexus74c841.64$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.85,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed aimclub29c689.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.8324429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a76…a671backed Nexus7c669.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.12630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nexus35c647.6$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5756732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed aimclub41c640.19$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.728645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nexus49c639.97$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3144,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…a4d7backed aimclub47c632.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.511485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+41.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Nexus45c609.03$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.762350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed aimclub50c594.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.719257.6%53 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Nexus54c553.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nexus53c536.08$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.434,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fb…2e4ebacked Nexus47c510.5$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.041833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Nexus68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Nexus61c492.58$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9148562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1405…d36fbacked aimclub68c490.84$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.681353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Nexus73c484.62$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6913453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nexus50c465.41$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.75,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked aimclub35c464.19$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5416235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked aimclub43c392.77$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.483,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…fd1bbacked Nexus29c327.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed aimclub37c285.73$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7354839.8%218 W · 330 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed aimclub49c273$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed aimclub42c270.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8780744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cab…956fbacked aimclub37c232$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf586…e81bbacked Nexus36c230.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed aimclub48c230.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5332643.3%141 W · 185 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d1c0backed Nexus63c220$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid+400%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed aimclub46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3941847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nexus51c202.68$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.395,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed aimclub52c201.05$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.429840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Nexus75c200.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5265…0d3bbacked aimclub16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Nexus49c199.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9750340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed aimclub62c196.77$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.176848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…d9fabacked Nexus30c169.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.652532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Nexus36c168$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6949843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Nexus60c165.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked aimclub52c158$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2349745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed aimclub48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed aimclub31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Nexus36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9583643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed aimclub51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.729244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed aimclub64c136.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.224856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed aimclub25c129.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221,08737.5%408 W · 679 L+33.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed aimclub45c129.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0647053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Nexus54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed aimclub45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked aimclub45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1172451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed aimclub31c110.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.997131%22 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Nexus29c109.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.271752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed aimclub49c104$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5724747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Nexus36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363925.6%10 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed aimclub46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3927443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Nexus39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ba…5618backed aimclub33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed aimclub23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777537.3%28 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked aimclub64c99.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9719845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Nexus61c97.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.627972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ec…0ec4backed aimclub46c96.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.84560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+142.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked aimclub42c93.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2940652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Nexus50c92.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8732861.6%202 W · 126 L+1.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0a…f249backed aimclub56c92.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked Nexus51c90.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.398653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed aimclub45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed aimclub46c82.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3996049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked aimclub72c82.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed aimclub28c77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.143154.8%17 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+3,274.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x40b2…6fd2backed aimclub50c75.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+211.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc7f…f922backed aimclub55c75.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.819946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb91…d0eabacked aimclub40c73.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.212429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked aimclub48c73.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.171,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nexus40c71.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed aimclub32c71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed aimclub42c67.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.445224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Nexus55c66.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5432536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Nexus74c65.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.664050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cb…1f21backed Nexus71c62.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed aimclub51c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8981551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Nexus56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed aimclub39c51.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nexus63c51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.032,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed Nexus50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56c…2c11backed aimclub50c49.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Nexus63c45.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5915752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked aimclub71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051,27871.5%914 W · 364 L+3.6wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Nexus69c43.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed aimclub51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0775048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Nexus67c42.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2621…0d34backed aimclub30c41.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.