TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Pirates, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Rockies32c22,714$7,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,445.6712043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Rockies51c15,613$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,613.388540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates68c9,608$6,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,526.81,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies29c8,031$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,726.966,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Pirates68c6,865$4,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.515650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates74c6,786$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,021.9786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies25c5,525$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.9954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Rockies34c5,202$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.315851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies24c3,711$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.62,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Pirates66c3,636$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.765947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates66c3,248$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.532,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Pirates63c2,800$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies41c2,604$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.1738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies30c2,552$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.3553150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates47c2,539$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.119,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates70c2,179$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.619742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Rockies68c2,059$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.827455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Pirates68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9825454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates20c1,968$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.521,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies19c1,932$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.4543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates53c1,600$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84639041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies47c1,572$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.8341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Pirates6c1,529$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9627213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Pirates71c1,409$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies34c1,397$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.0670946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Rockies31c1,231$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe572…f0bbbacked Pirates23c1,213$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.091275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+136.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates41c1,140$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.94,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies35c1,140$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Pirates12c1,059$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.415644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies33c1,022$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.9756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68035952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rockies34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies33c999.93$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies34c992$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.7224547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates14c973.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies34c910.95$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.2350843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies28c845.5$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pirates37c816.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pirates67c700$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4691,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3b…14fcbacked Pirates21c699.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies33c695$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef6…eb68backed Pirates65c587.71$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Pirates20c584.21$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.849151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates66c578.79$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38222546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pirates53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockies34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Rockies35c462.86$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8611463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pirates31c460$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies57c446.91$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies33c375.55$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates5c373.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.024754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbd…0f19backed Rockies33c363.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.642548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Rockies28c351.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7217754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies33c350$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies34c350$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pirates14c345.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Pirates72c313$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1425364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed Pirates69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies34c299.93$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.952,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Pirates67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies25c280$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21045749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Pirates66c275.76$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e79…42e0backed Pirates21c274$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.541752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies29c272.36$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.381,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Pirates68c263$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6819052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates66c254.12$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7243247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies34c247.38$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.271,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Pirates72c210.31$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Rockies48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.25950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Pirates15c208.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pirates20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Pirates69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Pirates66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Pirates52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rockies28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14416651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Rockies34c199.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9933140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Pirates72c191$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2127458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Pirates72c190.14$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.114565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Pirates71c186$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2760052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockies26c167.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.198,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Pirates17c165$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3841751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Pirates67c163.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.281936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Pirates66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed Pirates66c151.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.741942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Pirates21c150.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.569550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Pirates67c149.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Pirates67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Pirates40c148.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Pirates69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Pirates73c142$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9631547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Pirates73c142$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9611963.9%76 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies34c140$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.431244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Pirates10c138.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.847416.2%12 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick7cpaid+74.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.