MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94639034c1b5aec417c77ee186130e180f0fd5a38ef29953802568731f31c7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 41c | 9,223$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 20c | 5,001$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.76 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Rays | 59c | 4,760$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 61c | 4,366$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.93 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 58c | 3,989$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.37 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 59c | 3,608$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.47 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 42c | 2,820$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.54 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 59c | 2,499$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 42c | 2,417$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 40c | 2,059$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.69 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 59c | 1,832$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rays | 58c | 1,538$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.11 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 71c | 1,318$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 41c | 1,150$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 38c | 1,140$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nationals | 18c | 1,080$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 10c | 1,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 41c | 1,001$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 6c | 970.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Nationals | 18c | 928.18$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 41c | 835$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.35 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 29c | 785$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Nationals | 43c | 702.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 16c | 700$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nationals | 41c | 659.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 59c | 595.82$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 41c | 539.85$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 41c | 521$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rays | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Rays | 59c | 494$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 34c | 414.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 40c | 386.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 40c | 378.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Nationals | 40c | 369.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 59c | 345.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Rays | 59c | 308.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Nationals | 42c | 306.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Rays | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Rays | 59c | 269.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Rays | 59c | 236.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Rays | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a6babacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3f56backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…4823backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…5506backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…c3febacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…68fabacked Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7b5cbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…71f1backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…0a46backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…65f8backed Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Nationalsthis page
- Rays vs. Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.