TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,214 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over61c28,029$17,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,931.68743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c27,544$13,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,460.562,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under39c27,456$10,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,707.994658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over63c12,018$7,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.722634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over64c7,836$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.974566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over31c3,300$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.683023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c3,201$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.131,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over22c2,280$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc29…495dbacked Over60c1,890$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c1,767$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Over61c1,649$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under37c1,422$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over63c1,265$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.742763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over55c1,134$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under39c995.92$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over63c955$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.479137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over30c937.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.592650%13 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…1e41backed Under70c902.22$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over37c852.67$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Over68c787.87$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over60c708$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.7212452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed Under15c700$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3d…5f66backed Under16c700$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over67c448.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.017464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.438957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14816251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under8c399.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under12c370.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1334242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under15c350$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+314.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under41c346$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under37c331.75$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.229627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.093438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c323.77$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7717058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over63c315.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over65c307.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.582958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12312649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c289.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Under50c286.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.292941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over58c286.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.528965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5e…9733backed Over50c266.7$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over47c253.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.711435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under37c238.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.13743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Under39c238.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under15c235$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+237.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over44c228$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.318858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over61c216.27$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.661050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c200.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4511136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+195.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over62c198.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under36c189.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over60c179.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7223353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over55c174.05$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over65c173.85$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under41c173$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.933243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under39c170.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6420452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over61c163.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.997954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under39c161.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6121251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under37c161.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8313445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Under9c159.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over44c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.65642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c143$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under53c142.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1110353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67fc…722bbacked Under36c138.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.691163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over49c137.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.945644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3315238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c128.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8523244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under60c125.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…1c79backed Over61c125.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over59c122.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under25c117.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over19c107.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.848744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over49c101.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.857065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.692347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over48c99.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5711547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under37c97.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.094252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over28c95.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.566937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over60c91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over34c87.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.083737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under41c86.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over56c82.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2818055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c80.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over51c77.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.