Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb804406e086a6624dcdf36b1d105ad8d86c71d2711478b5fbc9ee1d3ecea1c11

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $101,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over	34c	61,453$20,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,893.97	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	66c	52,213$34,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,497.6	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over	33c	8,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,639.96	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	66c	7,492$4,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,547.31	455	47%214 W · 241 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	66c	6,803$4,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,324.06	404	47.3%191 W · 213 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	79c	6,211$4,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.99	210	58.6%123 W · 87 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	33c	3,107$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.19	205	44.9%92 W · 113 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	66c	2,957$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005.38	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over	33c	2,029$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	33c	1,749$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.34	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	66c	1,094$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.87	195	42.6%83 W · 112 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	11c	1,054$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.83	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	66c	984.85$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.85	333	57.4%191 W · 142 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	33c	900$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over	34c	600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	12c	535.34$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	34c	434$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.2	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	66c	412.92$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.72	232	44%102 W · 130 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over	7c	409.89$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	66c	400$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Under	66c	378.78$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	39c	376.92$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	74	64.9%48 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	66c	372.42$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.62	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over	33c	371.27$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.86	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over	35c	344.69$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	67c	339.07$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.2	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	63c	325.79$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.56	460	47.4%218 W · 242 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	34c	315.55$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.63	405	49.6%201 W · 204 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	170	58.2%99 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	46%64 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	72c	197.71$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.9	397	40.6%161 W · 236 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over	39c	197.43$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	66c	177.79$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.61	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	68c	165$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	10c	155.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over	35c	154.29$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over	35c	150$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.32	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over	36c	127.05$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.33	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under	66c	121.21$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.21	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	34c	119.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.31	134	45.5%61 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	67c	106.45$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.49	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	267	47.2%126 W · 141 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.11	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.27per pick	45cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	13c	92.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	-14.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	67c	90.56$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.71	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	64c	90$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.65	652	54.1%353 W · 299 L	+19.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	19c	84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	467	42.8%200 W · 267 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Over	35c	82.86$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over	33c	78.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7946…387fbacked Over	36c	78.33$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over	28c	71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	188	58.5%110 W · 78 L	+16.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	26c	70.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	111	36.9%41 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+15.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	66c	68.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.61	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	63c	68.23$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.12	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under	66c	66.03$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.45	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over	33c	63$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.79	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	34c	62.45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd750…ce9cbacked Over	34c	62.41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under	66c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	69cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	67c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	430	58.6%252 W · 178 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over	29c	55.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+15.5wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Under	67c	43.33$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	59cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	66c	42.79$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	204	52%106 W · 98 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e6…c602backed Over	34c	42.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over	35c	41.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-28%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Over	24c	41.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	64c	37.98$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Under	66c	37.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.82	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	34c	35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	134	47.8%64 W · 70 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Under	72c	32.16$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.06	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over	38c	30.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	65c	29.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Under	67c	24.51$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.13	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Under	68c	21.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under	67c	20.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ce0…56f9backed Under	68c	17.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5this page
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Over won
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)Genoa CFC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event