Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e42d1747ad30786ae0ed68ae3aa98690836956767cdba830b48b33dc306c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,578 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f9…93a9backed Yes | 31c | 2,720$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1c…eef4backed Yes | 31c | 2,655$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…079cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,625$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…6bcbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,560$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3bf5backed Yes | 47c | 1,768$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e92…7489backed No | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…1603backed No | 69c | 1,360$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ec…37b4backed No | 69c | 1,320$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…ae64backed No | 71c | 1,316$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…4672backed No | 71c | 1,309$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa725…e8d8backed No | 70c | 1,304$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…dea0backed No | 69c | 1,295$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf670…7822backed No | 70c | 1,256$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 23c | 874.11$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 2c | 669.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 75c | 522.14$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed Yes | 34c | 423.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Yes | 39c | 322.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 275.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 74c | 270.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 12c | 245.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 61c | 244.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 16c | 238.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 191.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…fac5backed Yes | 50c | 179.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 40c | 175.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 24c | 169.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 55c | 169.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 79c | 169.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 60c | 167.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 63c | 163.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 45c | 155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 39c | 147.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 144.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…0e79backed No | 73c | 137.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Yes | 66c | 135.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 41c | 126.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 124.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 123.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 109.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 75c | 108.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 60c | 101.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 97.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…a5cabacked Yes | 26c | 95.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…9047backed Yes | 12c | 87.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 30c | 86.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…8d1fbacked No | 37c | 85.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 82.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 47c | 76.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 20c | 74.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…2f18backed Yes | 55c | 72.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 50c | 72.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf251…5d3fbacked Yes | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 23c | 64.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed Yes | 31c | 64.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…8a87backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 57.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 52c | 56.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 44c | 55.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 40c | 49.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…ecd3backed Yes | 33c | 44.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed Yes | 49c | 43.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…769bbacked No | 78c | 41.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…260cbacked Yes | 48c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…6104backed Yes | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 38.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…0a2abacked No | 50c | 36.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed No | 79c | 34.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…73a4backed No | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…e422backed Yes | 47c | 31.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…507abacked Yes | 75c | 31.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Yes | 42c | 29.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 69c | 29.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 79c | 29.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…cf0fbacked Yes | 55c | 27.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 76c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 43c | 25.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 80c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…58d3backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked No | 67c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 52c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf8…0e86backed Yes | 54c | 21.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 77c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.