Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd50a3e027171014dea8676b85e5ab0bb34890306f2e11626f7872080c9b0f102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,034 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x258d…4fd6backed No | 0c | 4,974$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…5e31backed Yes | 30c | 2,814$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…a540backed Yes | 29c | 2,690$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a3…8c4dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,681$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…cb7dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,653$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09bcbacked Yes | 31c | 2,646$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…ae97backed Yes | 31c | 2,595$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.47 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…2710backed No | 70c | 1,420$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…5c21backed No | 70c | 1,394$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…4febbacked No | 71c | 1,364$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…d088backed No | 70c | 1,355$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…0aa5backed No | 69c | 1,346$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…f9aebacked No | 70c | 1,344$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…cae3backed No | 69c | 1,328$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…30b1backed No | 70c | 1,326$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…89bcbacked No | 71c | 1,326$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…c3dfbacked No | 70c | 1,309$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…7c36backed No | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…63cfbacked No | 69c | 1,267$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…73f1backed No | 1c | 1,140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 29c | 615.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.3 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 11c | 508.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed Yes | 39c | 467.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…7889backed Yes | 49c | 406.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 29c | 315.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 306.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 302.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 50c | 296.36$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 27c | 262.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 30c | 253.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 67c | 239.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 13c | 224.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 218.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…cc4cbacked No | 11c | 203.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 29c | 189.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 71c | 181.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 161.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Yes | 29c | 148.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 142$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 135.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 50c | 132.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 119.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 115.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 73c | 112.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…4bf4backed No | 69c | 108.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 29c | 102.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 26c | 102.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 66c | 102.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Yes | 38c | 102$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 66c | 93.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 70c | 92.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…a5cabacked Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 28c | 90.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…260cbacked Yes | 32c | 90.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 87.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…9f11backed No | 66c | 86.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 82.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 26c | 77.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 31c | 72.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 71c | 72.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 34c | 71.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 71.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 31c | 70.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 30c | 70.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 63c | 70.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 64.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 29c | 64.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 29c | 58.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 31c | 56.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…ae7dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…ad5dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 67c | 50.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 71c | 49.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 33c | 49.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 34c | 49.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 49.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 34c | 48.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf8…0e86backed Yes | 32c | 46.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 33c | 45.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 50c | 45.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…26febacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…b3cfbacked No | 78c | 43.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…769bbacked No | 74c | 42.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c6…d6dbbacked Yes | 34c | 42.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 33c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…fac5backed Yes | 44c | 40.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…8032backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 31c | 38.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.