Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3384ac4d420432d241825f882db0c00fd8b7b78ae9b4b447a785d758ea039770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,405 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…4346backed No | 1c | 1,391$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 60c | 1,257$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.22 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 50c | 1,201$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.76 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 13c | 732.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…901dbacked No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 12c | 575.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 8c | 540.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 458.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 76c | 448.79$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 423.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 26c | 387.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 38c | 260.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed Yes | 28c | 252.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed No | 49c | 246.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 13c | 228.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed No | 40c | 224.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 46c | 221.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 22c | 220.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 13c | 212$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 17c | 197.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 187.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 73c | 172.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 19c | 165.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 158.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 11c | 156.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 36c | 152.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 145.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 8c | 137.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 118.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…64d5backed Yes | 79c | 112.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 66c | 112.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 73c | 99.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 75c | 96.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 94.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 40c | 87.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 35c | 86.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11dc…fac5backed Yes | 29c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 28c | 78.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 34c | 73.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 21c | 73.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…b65ebacked No | 28c | 71.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 29c | 69.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 35c | 67.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 27c | 66.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 77c | 63.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 73c | 62.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 21c | 59.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 44c | 59.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…8622backed Yes | 36c | 56.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 74c | 53.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…a036backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 73c | 45.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…9e6fbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 78c | 38.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 73c | 38.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 63c | 38.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…8ebebacked No | 28c | 37.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 45c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 75c | 33.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 35c | 32.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…8209backed Yes | 62c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 73c | 32.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 31.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…4990backed No | 60c | 29.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…aa5fbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc053…4cccbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…b3cfbacked No | 68c | 23.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…d064backed No | 44c | 23.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca23…6080backed No | 75c | 20.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2044…2fc5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 66c | 19.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 76c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…a76abacked Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…5d90backed No | 71c | 15.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…2f25backed No | 78c | 15.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on March 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on March 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.