TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e84…d064

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Movies at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$29.48
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$7.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31%+$4.51
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$5.24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$9.58
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$5.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$5.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$4.87
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$18.02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11.81
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$14.75
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Lost Boys" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Will Daiki Yamashita as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
Will "Turbo Granny (DAN DA DAN Season 2)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will "Loulan/Shisui (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.58
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.81
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$44.99
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$10.84
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.83
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.6
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$20.75
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$32.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.68
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.62
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close at $570-$580 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Declan Rice record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.