Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc25d43db1efc5402e07992ccae8c747389ee127c81bf251623315518c0d5aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,102 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 32c | 3,199$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 19c | 1,444$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 1,316$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.06 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 31c | 1,100$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 24c | 825.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed Yes | 19c | 752$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 691$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 610.5$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…399abacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 440.02$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 23c | 423.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 33c | 390.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 18c | 380$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 27c | 338$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 19c | 313$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 26c | 310.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 298$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Yes | 38c | 266.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 220$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 186.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 70c | 183.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 66c | 182.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Yes | 18c | 173$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…b8fcbacked No | 72c | 163.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 7c | 161.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 22c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…924bbacked Yes | 33c | 147$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…9911backed Yes | 36c | 142$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 134.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…eb91backed Yes | 31c | 123$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…b2b5backed Yes | 31c | 121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 17c | 120.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…d902backed Yes | 33c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…285cbacked Yes | 34c | 113$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…b64bbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 104.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7d…02bcbacked Yes | 33c | 103.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…9e68backed Yes | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 24c | 86.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 73c | 86.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 83.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…09bdbacked Yes | 50c | 79.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 74.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff23…2b05backed No | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce9…4a78backed No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…2a64backed No | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0b92backed No | 76c | 60.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…b83cbacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebe…4a6abacked No | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…eaa9backed No | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 26c | 46.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…17b0backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…d064backed No | 69c | 44.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…75bcbacked No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…d1cdbacked Yes | 34c | 43.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…1e09backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…567abacked No | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…794abacked No | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9590…c828backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…433fbacked No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 31c | 36.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…247dbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…d422backed Yes | 34c | 35.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…646dbacked No | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…db47backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8282…d6b8backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…9becbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…3235backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed No | 68c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 71c | 26.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 26.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…1456backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3858…4c9ebacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…c472backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…a3aabacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3dbbbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…ebeebacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…2172backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…2b15backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…0091backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…8bebbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 59c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 74c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…e318backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?this page
- Will Kevin Morrison be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?No won
- Will Melissa Bean be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?Yes won
- Will Neil Khot be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?No won
- Will Yasmeen Bankole be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.