Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d185151133f9bfa0346d9773804d8a3981d6b93c492b75b38df666a5389a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,375 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,662$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,652$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ab…c998backed Yes | 3c | 2,172$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 2,172$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…41e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,529$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 1,493$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 6c | 1,430$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 10c | 1,207$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 8c | 864.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…05fbbacked Yes | 18c | 622.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 533.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 17c | 511.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 453.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…7bfbbacked Yes | 20c | 444.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 74c | 417.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 338$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 8c | 328.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 78c | 321$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed Yes | 16c | 313.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 12c | 301.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 10c | 292.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 8c | 291.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 285.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 19c | 274.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a5…5737backed Yes | 25c | 258.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…0918backed Yes | 26c | 226.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 225$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 23c | 223.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 13c | 217.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 213.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 17c | 209.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 7c | 204.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…844ebacked Yes | 30c | 201.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 22c | 196.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 10c | 184.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 162.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…9848backed Yes | 13c | 159.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 156.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 9c | 149.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 68c | 140.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…4965backed Yes | 20c | 121.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 10c | 110.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 107.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…938bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…da74backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…685abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…821fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 76c | 98.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 16c | 88.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 77c | 87.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…283abacked Yes | 27c | 83.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Yes | 36c | 83.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 19c | 70.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 70c | 56.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…bf5cbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…255dbacked Yes | 23c | 56.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…ad1ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…4eb7backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 29c | 45.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…c28cbacked Yes | 25c | 43.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 24c | 42.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…28a9backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…4e25backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…9449backed Yes | 28c | 37.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…f641backed No | 68c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 69c | 28.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…35b8backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…8183backed No | 73c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 71c | 26.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 77c | 24.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…d064backed No | 74c | 21.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 72c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…4fd6backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…df9bbacked No | 68c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…0c8dbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…f2b4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…0746backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked No | 77c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…2d36backed No | 67c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…0f09backed No | 71c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…b49ebacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.