TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Riestra win on 2026-05-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ba…04e4backed Yes37c5,468$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c4,694$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.135,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes39c3,955$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5307244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c3,566$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.912,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c3,351$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.791,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes37c2,709$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No64c2,131$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.2642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No63c2,107$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.474852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c1,521$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.891,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,278$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.423,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No63c867.21$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6527349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes76c769.25$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.633,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c678.28$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes46c634.76$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.36946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22527549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c599.91$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.041,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c589.1$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.088,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c555.73$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.532,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes38c538$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.442821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No64c506.72$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.421656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes43c454.77$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5210649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c449.68$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c440.95$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.831,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No53c421$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.851,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No56c412.77$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.122450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c392.84$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.411,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Yes33c364.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.184667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No78c300$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.526745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c255$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.51,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No64c222$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1614540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes40c201.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.723650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No65c179.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No60c174.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.021,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c159.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.162,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c147.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.571,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes32c128.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Yes13c121.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No63c118.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4710767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No64c113.42$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7314254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes37c104.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.521758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No43c100.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7418359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes33c100.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No60c100.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7112958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5351750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No59c98.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.183650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No61c95.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.263554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes39c95.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.265448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes33c94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0213049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Yes17c83.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No63c78.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9525044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes59c75.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No68c72.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9221640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes43c69.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c64.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.436339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No62c56.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.318557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No57c52.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.937763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes35c49.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4517255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No61c43.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No65c40.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x297d…0358backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Yes31c37.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.512737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534a…023abacked No60c33.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7538861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c31.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198d…d4b4backed Yes72c27.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes46c27.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No63c27.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.988955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No72c22.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8340…b29bbacked No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e84…d064backed Yes63c19.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdb…8a82backed No59c18.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.525100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0813457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.798252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.