South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb4e53ae013e1d3340f0959045a242a18ff8b68f6e19a7e3e3b909579420005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 5,553$3,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.46 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 36c | 3,993$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.05 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 62c | 1,613$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,609$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 31c | 1,490$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 1,326$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 1,130$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.03 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,101$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,099$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 1,092$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 32c | 1,090$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…dbc6backed No | 72c | 872.51$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 71c | 691$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 21c | 605.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 69c | 550.72$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 64c | 549.73$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 518.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Yes | 27c | 504.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 64c | 493.18$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 492.46$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 483.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 38c | 424.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 37c | 406$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 31c | 375.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 326.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 36c | 322.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 319.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 252.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 63c | 252.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 64c | 219.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 12c | 215.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 64c | 202$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 191$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 69c | 156$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 37c | 146.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 64c | 144$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 115.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 34c | 110.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 34c | 88.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 86.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 81.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Yes | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed No | 70c | 68.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 42c | 60.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 40c | 60.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 57c | 53.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 36c | 49.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 41c | 37.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 64c | 37.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 64c | 33.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 32.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 43c | 32.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f5ecbacked No | 80c | 13.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-26?this page
- Will CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-05-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.