TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auburn Tigersof Auburn Tigers, Illinois State Redbirds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Auburn Tigers52c10,026$5,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,812.3236944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Illinois State Redbirds48c9,207$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,458.291450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Auburn Tigers53c7,775$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.279250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois State Redbirds47c6,020$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.63,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Auburn Tigers51c5,299$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.7248855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers52c2,405$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Illinois State Redbirds48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.346440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Auburn Tigers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96024451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Illinois State Redbirds50c1,827$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Illinois State Redbirds49c1,687$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Illinois State Redbirds48c1,481$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.292969%20 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Auburn Tigers50c1,122$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.872,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds47c941$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.275,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Illinois State Redbirds47c905.21$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.451,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Illinois State Redbirds48c596.94$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.57656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Illinois State Redbirds49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.823240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Auburn Tigers52c518.08$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6824857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Auburn Tigers53c508.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.193441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Auburn Tigers53c506.44$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.038246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Auburn Tigers53c506.44$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.033655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Auburn Tigers53c506.44$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.0311456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Illinois State Redbirds49c441.08$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Illinois State Redbirds48c396.24$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.197258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Illinois State Redbirds49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Illinois State Redbirds49c300.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.251492.9%13 W · 1 L+5.3wins+0.38per pick55cpaid+72.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c279.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.395660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c250.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5530152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c235.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Illinois State Redbirds49c203.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.759151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Illinois State Redbirds20c193.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.752055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Illinois State Redbirds49c182.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.591450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Auburn Tigers52c182.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois State Redbirds48c179.87$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.261,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Illinois State Redbirds48c177.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.252462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Illinois State Redbirds49c176.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Illinois State Redbirds48c168.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.917354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Illinois State Redbirds48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.422043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Illinois State Redbirds47c146$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.622875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Illinois State Redbirds48c141.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.898245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Illinois State Redbirds48c141.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.825561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c126.02$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.754961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Auburn Tigers52c125.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.062254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Illinois State Redbirds19c116.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Illinois State Redbirds48c113.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.416654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Illinois State Redbirds49c100.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.47360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Auburn Tigers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Illinois State Redbirds48c99.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c95.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.044252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Auburn Tigers52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8218846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Auburn Tigers53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0922250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Illinois State Redbirds48c87.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds33c87.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Illinois State Redbirds49c84.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.334959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Auburn Tigers52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.48549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Auburn Tigers52c77.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.052755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Auburn Tigers53c63.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Illinois State Redbirds47c58.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2916650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Auburn Tigers50c56.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1258652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Illinois State Redbirds37c50.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Auburn Tigers52c49.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Illinois State Redbirds49c44.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.611369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Auburn Tigers52c43.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Illinois State Redbirds49c42.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Illinois State Redbirds49c38.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.661741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Illinois State Redbirds51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c30.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4222656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Auburn Tigers52c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Illinois State Redbirds48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Auburn Tigers53c27.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Illinois State Redbirds48c27.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c27.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.022352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Illinois State Redbirds49c25.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x418c…4a41backed Illinois State Redbirds48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Illinois State Redbirds48c23.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Illinois State Redbirds48c23.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers55c19.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.784,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Auburn Tigers52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.