UFC · resolved market
Dana White's Contender Series: Carlos Petruzzella vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5edb33e1d8ce7400f3b7e88132db70851eddb07377775b398ce3a3b264c8c630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Galantiof Carlos Petruzzella, Nick Galanti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Nick Galanti | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 2,094$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…d4d5backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 1,750$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 1,608$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.48 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 1,589$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nick Galanti | 66c | 1,023$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.85 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 808.06$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Carlos Petruzzella | 32c | 604.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Nick Galanti | 65c | 599.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Nick Galanti | 69c | 575.49$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 525$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 27c | 457.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 157 | 36.9%58 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Nick Galanti | 67c | 451.69$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Carlos Petruzzella | 34c | 436.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Carlos Petruzzella | 32c | 417$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Nick Galanti | 65c | 297.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Carlos Petruzzella | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 277.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nick Galanti | 66c | 271.62$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Nick Galanti | 70c | 240.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Carlos Petruzzella | 34c | 231.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 214.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Carlos Petruzzella | 35c | 201.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Carlos Petruzzella | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Carlos Petruzzella | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 31c | 175$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 29c | 139$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Nick Galanti | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Carlos Petruzzella | 34c | 123.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nick Galanti | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Nick Galanti | 66c | 113.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 242 | 61.6%149 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…775fbacked Nick Galanti | 66c | 98.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 91.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 34c | 86.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Nick Galanti | 66c | 81.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 81.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nick Galanti | 65c | 80.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Carlos Petruzzella | 24c | 80.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 76.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Nick Galanti | 66c | 67.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…ac8fbacked Nick Galanti | 67c | 63.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…bf9fbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 32c | 62.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1183…bacfbacked Carlos Petruzzella | 35c | 54.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Nick Galanti | 66c | 39.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carlos Petruzzella | 34c | 39.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Carlos Petruzzella | 29c | 39.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Nick Galanti | 66c | 37.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…8c66backed Carlos Petruzzella | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Nick Galanti | 68c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Nick Galanti | 65c | 20.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nick Galanti | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 48 | 79.2%38 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Nick Galanti | 65c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +5.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dana White's Contender Series: Carlos Petruzzella vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Carlos Petruzzella win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.