UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3eb354ee5c488ebdbf228ec19848d52f8ae89fa4e0c75df6c71f2f3ec6af854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Farid Basharatof Farid Basharat, John Garza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed John Garza | 14c | 27,883$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.67 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked John Garza | 28c | 10,474$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.32 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed John Garza | 18c | 5,455$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.1 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Farid Basharat | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed John Garza | 21c | 4,894$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.33 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed John Garza | 19c | 4,788$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked John Garza | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked John Garza | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed John Garza | 39c | 2,690$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Farid Basharat | 78c | 2,489$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.87 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Farid Basharat | 69c | 2,450$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Farid Basharat | 70c | 2,020$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.69 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed John Garza | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed John Garza | 14c | 1,665$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked John Garza | 14c | 1,661$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked John Garza | 17c | 1,627$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed John Garza | 19c | 1,545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Farid Basharat | 68c | 1,476$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked John Garza | 30c | 1,301$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed John Garza | 15c | 1,279$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed John Garza | 15c | 1,179$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Farid Basharat | 77c | 1,175$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Farid Basharat | 58c | 1,102$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked John Garza | 15c | 1,062$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Farid Basharat | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked John Garza | 27c | 955.61$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Farid Basharat | 76c | 945.53$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Farid Basharat | 62c | 932.79$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed John Garza | 37c | 926.56$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Farid Basharat | 77c | 870$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed John Garza | 35c | 826.12$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Farid Basharat | 65c | 690.62$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked John Garza | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Farid Basharat | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked John Garza | 15c | 621.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Farid Basharat | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked John Garza | 30c | 600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed John Garza | 42c | 597.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed John Garza | 30c | 573.88$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Farid Basharat | 74c | 566.84$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked John Garza | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed John Garza | 13c | 506.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Farid Basharat | 70c | 480.33$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Farid Basharat | 63c | 478.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Farid Basharat | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed John Garza | 17c | 447.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed John Garza | 15c | 446.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked John Garza | 19c | 436.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Farid Basharat | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked John Garza | 8c | 404.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed John Garza | 16c | 403.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed John Garza | 17c | 395.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed John Garza | 19c | 359.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked John Garza | 17c | 354.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Farid Basharat | 78c | 354.35$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Farid Basharat | 72c | 319.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Farid Basharat | 80c | 312.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed John Garza | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed John Garza | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed John Garza | 26c | 298.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed John Garza | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Farid Basharat | 79c | 290$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Farid Basharat | 67c | 288.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b321backed John Garza | 25c | 277.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed John Garza | 24c | 262.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed John Garza | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Farid Basharat | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Farid Basharat | 61c | 246.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed John Garza | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Farid Basharat | 77c | 209.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked John Garza | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked John Garza | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked John Garza | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed John Garza | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked John Garza | 15c | 198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…237ebacked John Garza | 13c | 189.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked John Garza | 25c | 176.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…9332backed John Garza | 17c | 167.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked John Garza | 24c | 166.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed John Garza | 34c | 156$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…453fbacked John Garza | 33c | 151.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed John Garza | 34c | 149.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed John Garza | 20c | 146$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Farid Basharat | 77c | 134.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cd28backed John Garza | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Farid Basharat | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8c11backed John Garza | 35c | 120.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed John Garza | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…b0b3backed John Garza | 14c | 114.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed John Garza | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…fee7backed John Garza | 16c | 104.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed John Garza | 28c | 103.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…46c5backed John Garza | 29c | 103.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed John Garza | 30c | 100.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed John Garza | 37c | 100.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Farid Basharat | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Farid Basharat | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Farid Basharat | 80c | 98.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Farid Basharat | 56c | 97.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed John Garza | 16c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will John Garza win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.