MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac8156430b84d496d480f9f031bcb1fd88a3019ab1bcaec831435ce82a59412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yankees | 50c | 41,461$20,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,662.18 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Yankees | 48c | 38,245$18,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,367.75 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 19,493$10,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.69 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Red Sox | 52c | 16,779$8,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,053.93 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 50c | 12,303$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.92 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 16c | 12,105$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Red Sox | 46c | 9,061$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 7,497$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 5c | 7,202$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox | 49c | 7,137$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yankees | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Red Sox | 49c | 5,000$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 4,751$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.85 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yankees | 46c | 4,186$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.03 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Red Sox | 52c | 4,000$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Yankees | 54c | 3,121$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.18 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yankees | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 52c | 2,497$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.53 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 7c | 2,348$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 6c | 1,997$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,909$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yankees | 34c | 1,744$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Yankees | 47c | 1,630$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Red Sox | 49c | 1,564$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Sox | 44c | 1,540$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.25 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,500$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.81 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.28 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yankees | 49c | 1,379$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.83 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 13c | 1,253$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,137$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.9 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yankees | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yankees | 1c | 950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Yankees | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 56c | 859.96$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Red Sox | 53c | 855.98$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.12 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yankees | 57c | 616.4$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yankees | 48c | 610.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 60c | 594.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox | 46c | 584.02$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yankees | 7c | 509.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yankees | 45c | 504.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 51c | 489.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yankees | 49c | 440.82$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 4c | 440$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 25c | 428.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Red Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 46c | 399.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Red Sox | 45c | 394$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 52c | 389$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Red Sox | 53c | 380.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 379.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Yankees | 16c | 355.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 9c | 344$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees | 5c | 339$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Yankees | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 80c | 287.84$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Yankees | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Yankees | 48c | 239.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Red Sox | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 47c | 225.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yankees | 49c | 224$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yankees | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yankees | 55c | 200.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yankees | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yankees | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 198$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Yankees | 26c | 193.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Red Sox | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 170$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yankees | 49c | 168.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yankees | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Yankees | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Red Sox | 52c | 144.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yankees | 49c | 139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Yankees | 47c | 135.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox | 49c | 119.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Red Sox | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Red Sox | 54c | 107.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Yankeesthis page
- Red Sox vs. Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.