MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f1cbc504b2be65482c8441b237b71114c85a0244afaba3b60dd4a36c99bc14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Giants | 45c | 114,730$51,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,148.76 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 55c | 24,755$13,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,615.25 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Mets | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mets | 55c | 18,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 55c | 16,756$9,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,218.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 52c | 11,753$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mets | 45c | 11,141$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 31c | 10,038$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 60c | 9,632$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.66 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 55c | 8,600$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Giants | 48c | 6,050$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.77 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Giants | 43c | 5,101$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.57 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 55c | 4,393$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.95 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Mets | 58c | 4,011$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.36 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 34c | 3,754$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.96 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 57c | 2,468$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 55c | 2,199$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.94 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mets | 50c | 2,005$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 55c | 1,909$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.95 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mets | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mets | 15c | 1,772$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.06 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 57c | 1,577$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.06 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mets | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mets | 52c | 1,362$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.81 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 59c | 1,304$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.63 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 44c | 1,173$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.59 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Giants | 45c | 1,157$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Giants | 42c | 1,105$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.9 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Giants | 63c | 1,070$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Giants | 42c | 1,041$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.76 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 56c | 1,010$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.68 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Mets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 43c | 999.99$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Giants | 65c | 850$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Giants | 42c | 806.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.61 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 57c | 775.97$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.3 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Giants | 43c | 658$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.06 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Mets | 57c | 650$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 42c | 593.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.39 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 43c | 530.82$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.57 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 59c | 477.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Giants | 53c | 475.84$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Giants | 58c | 450.08$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 56c | 440$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 57c | 422.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mets | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Mets | 58c | 399.86$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Giants | 47c | 378.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 42c | 349.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Mets | 57c | 340$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 12c | 332.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Giants | 57c | 330.53$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Giants | 43c | 328.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 80c | 326.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Mets | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mets | 34c | 292.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Mets | 34c | 268$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mets | 57c | 267.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 55c | 267.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 50c | 261.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 51c | 250.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Mets | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 56c | 245.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mets | 56c | 241.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Giants | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abb…3e45backed Mets | 58c | 226.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Giants | 43c | 225$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 77c | 217.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 47c | 214.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…ca51backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Mets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.