Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Top Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ba4ada365c2095294a6d28562762f29275b01d5fd066d04d75fae1de89238f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Top Esports | 65c | 59,540$38,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,838.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Weibo Gaming | 35c | 50,114$17,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,545.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 39,698$13,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,992.08 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Top Esports | 49c | 29,131$14,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,958.13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Weibo Gaming | 22c | 17,825$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.18 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Top Esports | 65c | 17,400$11,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Weibo Gaming | 0c | 11,121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Weibo Gaming | 0c | 6,224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Weibo Gaming | 40c | 4,179$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.28 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Top Esports | 65c | 2,195$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.38 | 150 | 61.3%92 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Top Esports | 65c | 2,175$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.35 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked Top Esports | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 1,164$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Weibo Gaming | 30c | 857.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Weibo Gaming | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Top Esports | 72c | 529.73$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Top Esports | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports | 63c | 355$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Top Esports | 66c | 309.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Weibo Gaming | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Top Esports | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Top Esports | 63c | 235.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Weibo Gaming | 33c | 199.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Weibo Gaming | 9c | 174.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…4577backed Top Esports | 62c | 161.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Top Esports | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Top Esports | 63c | 148.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…4dddbacked Top Esports | 69c | 133$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Top Esports | 76c | 132.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Weibo Gaming | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Weibo Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Top Esports | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Top Esports | 62c | 88.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed Top Esports | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Weibo Gaming | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Top Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Weibo Gaming | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Top Esports | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Top Esports | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d25…9ff2backed Top Esports | 66c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…5807backed Top Esports | 66c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Top Esports | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Weibo Gaming | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Top Esports | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…30bebacked Top Esports | 66c | 17.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed Top Esports | 64c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.