Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663f6bcd2f2cdd5455fd2e731acda1d2c56e9bbd2b11cc47011355cb53cc3525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 6,194$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 3c | 4,037$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 70c | 2,345$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed No | 35c | 960.25$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Yes | 65c | 768.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 4c | 614.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 61c | 597.46$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 443.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 24c | 414.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Yes | 60c | 414.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 64c | 394$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 31c | 392.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 15c | 321.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 22c | 299.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 7c | 273.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…74bdbacked No | 9c | 160.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 36c | 158.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 74c | 149.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…b717backed Yes | 72c | 127.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 20c | 122.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 34c | 106.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 102$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…f714backed Yes | 53c | 81.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…abf8backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed No | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes | 64c | 66.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a6…f547backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 65c | 54.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 78c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 79c | 47.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…9963backed Yes | 65c | 44.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…73acbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…610abacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 61c | 26.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…0152backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…fecbbacked No | 78c | 21.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…e9fdbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…1b05backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?this page
- Will Aurora Gaming win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will BB Team win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will PVISION win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Team Falcons win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Tundra Esports win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.