Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb342f0daa7673f4d7ecb5e311e38301420002f7cb229b430555817f1086a0c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0738…6392backed Yes | 20c | 2,930$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 22c | 2,307$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,080$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 78c | 817.9$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 27c | 561.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 16c | 538.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 78c | 372.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 77c | 266.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 19c | 190$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 18c | 137.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…cd1dbacked Yes | 40c | 50.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?this page
- Will Aurora Gaming win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will BB Team win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Gaimin Gladiators win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will PVISION win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Team Falcons win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?Yes won
- Will Tundra Esports win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.