TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Rays49c26,218$12,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,846.8312043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays46c20,327$9,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,416.171,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9414648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Dodgers51c16,400$8,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,03623545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Dodgers55c9,104$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,104.3828646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers53c5,010$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays32c3,891$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rays10c3,087$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers48c2,340$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.421246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays45c2,255$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.792,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays46c2,242$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.491,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a69…2f29backed Dodgers57c2,100$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers56c1,999$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.6171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.561,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers56c1,846$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.2640152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…e5e9backed Rays43c1,700$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d95…51c8backed Dodgers60c1,663$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rays2c1,647$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Dodgers54c1,609$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.9928447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d2a…3d34backed Rays43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rays46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rays45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays30c1,319$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rays42c1,104$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.7924547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3824…a693backed Dodgers57c1,100$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rays42c1,040$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rays34c1,020$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Dodgers59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4107940.5%32 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rays45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers76c993.33$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8953448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers56c970.6$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.525,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers54c899.99$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4141,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Dodgers55c888.78$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4112552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers54c833.33$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3326651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers50c789.78$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.052,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays44c599.82$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.921,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rays44c500.39$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Dodgers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dodgers55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers72c418.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8547348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Dodgers53c399.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9131347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Dodgers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6212939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers68c362.12$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.334,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rays42c359.76$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.91,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Rays46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rays42c349.89$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rays42c349.8$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.911,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Rays47c343.3$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3510143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Dodgers55c301.59$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Dodgers74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rays44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rays43c232.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1440548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Rays44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Rays43c226.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.346553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers58c216.72$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.022,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Dodgers64c208.33$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0232754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rays49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Dodgers55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rays43c199.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rays42c199.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays46c187$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.021,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Dodgers55c182.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0116552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75dd…df92backed Dodgers55c181.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.743548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers58c181.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…aac6backed Rays30c169.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Rays38c160.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Rays46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702552%13 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rays44c151.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.585047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rays43c150.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.495844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rays46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6992754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1516659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d09…2445backed Dodgers55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Dodgers67c133.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7320367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rays23c129$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8945749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Rays11c124$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.642441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Dodgers56c121.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6513843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rays12c119.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Dodgers55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1878454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rays45c112.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.341,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd971…4471backed Dodgers72c111.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.454768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Rays29c106.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays44c105.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Dodgers50c101.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9219742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Dodgers50c101.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9118848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6333…07f0backed Rays50c100.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebb…1310backed Dodgers55c100.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Dodgers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Dodgers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4718148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Dodgers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4617850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4666751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Dodgers54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4624951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Dodgers75c99.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9721656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8d…8126backed Dodgers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Dodgers67c92.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6519052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Dodgers63c91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6931547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Dodgers63c91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6911963.9%76 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.