Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. Hanwha Life Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947157c14a87835ea535bf2fd22c6c24b905c494126a0faa3858f797b7132ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwhaof Nongshim, Hanwha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Nongshim | 16c | 145,939$23,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,759.38 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nongshim | 12c | 34,640$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.16 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 16c | 15,464$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.36 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nongshim | 0c | 6,254$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Nongshim | 19c | 6,022$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nongshim | 9c | 5,575$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.01 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Nongshim | 2c | 4,657$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Nongshim | 1c | 4,263$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nongshim | 18c | 4,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.96 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Nongshim | 18c | 3,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nongshim | 8c | 2,255$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 14c | 2,201$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.35 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Nongshim | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Hanwha | 79c | 1,270$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.7 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nongshim | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Nongshim | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hanwha | 78c | 618.2$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim | 22c | 605.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nongshim | 21c | 551.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nongshim | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 9c | 360.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nongshim | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Hanwha | 79c | 253.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…d54cbacked Nongshim | 6c | 253.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Nongshim | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Nongshim | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nongshim | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Nongshim | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Nongshim | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Nongshim | 19c | 141.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Nongshim | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hanwha | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nongshim | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nongshim | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Hanwha | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nongshim | 19c | 75.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Hanwha | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Hanwha | 80c | 37.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.