Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Medvedev vs. Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ab1577cb9026e12f6ab6e955d4bc52419043c104eefb5a6173fa24cb087c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Popyrinof Medvedev, Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Popyrin | 31c | 25,200$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,286 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Medvedev | 67c | 14,367$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.3 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Medvedev | 68c | 5,139$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.35 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Popyrin | 31c | 4,399$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.62 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Medvedev | 71c | 4,110$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Medvedev | 79c | 2,908$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.21 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Medvedev | 74c | 2,400$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Medvedev | 70c | 1,870$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.33 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Medvedev | 74c | 1,239$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.29 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Popyrin | 27c | 878.57$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Medvedev | 79c | 862.99$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Popyrin | 21c | 861.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.01 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Popyrin | 24c | 858.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.6 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Medvedev | 40c | 673$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Popyrin | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Medvedev | 68c | 570$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Popyrin | 23c | 558.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.01 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Medvedev | 80c | 531.76$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Medvedev | 68c | 470$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Popyrin | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Popyrin | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Medvedev | 70c | 327.02$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Popyrin | 34c | 325$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Medvedev | 77c | 296.26$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Medvedev | 76c | 261.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Medvedev | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Popyrin | 21c | 210$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Popyrin | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Popyrin | 21c | 199.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Popyrin | 23c | 199.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Popyrin | 52c | 196.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Popyrin | 25c | 195$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Medvedev | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Medvedev | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Medvedev | 60c | 159.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Popyrin | 21c | 156.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Medvedev | 73c | 146.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Popyrin | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Medvedev | 76c | 105.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Popyrin | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Popyrin | 20c | 90.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Medvedev | 75c | 85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Medvedev | 73c | 83.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Popyrin | 21c | 77.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Medvedev | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…6be0backed Medvedev | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Medvedev | 78c | 69.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Medvedev | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Popyrin | 26c | 61.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Medvedev | 69c | 60.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Medvedev | 78c | 59.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…a99ebacked Medvedev | 74c | 52.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Medvedev | 59c | 48.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Medvedev | 78c | 42.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Popyrin | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Medvedev | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Medvedev | 79c | 39.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Medvedev | 70c | 37.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…42e0backed Medvedev | 78c | 27.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medvedev | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…64e0backed Medvedev | 79c | 20.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ab…d154backed Medvedev | 79c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…381cbacked Medvedev | 79c | 17.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…235bbacked Medvedev | 78c | 15.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7badbacked Medvedev | 74c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d6…796dbacked Medvedev | 77c | 14.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Medvedev | 77c | 14.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.