Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. OKSavingsBank BRION
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48690b7ba06db69d301f7abd93992f053907669a88548304d697228ae6e23d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OKSavingsBankof DN Freecs, OKSavingsBank
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed DN Freecs | 16c | 33,543$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.89 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed DN Freecs | 9c | 8,117$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.56 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 5,555$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked DN Freecs | 27c | 5,078$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed DN Freecs | 27c | 4,800$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 24c | 4,316$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.49 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked DN Freecs | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed DN Freecs | 22c | 2,270$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.87 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 35c | 2,204$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.5 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 2,135$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed DN Freecs | 25c | 1,986$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed DN Freecs | 15c | 1,800$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs | 3c | 1,263$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DN Freecs | 26c | 1,045$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked DN Freecs | 30c | 739.53$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked OKSavingsBank | 75c | 700$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed DN Freecs | 26c | 699.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked DN Freecs | 24c | 515.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 513.09$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed OKSavingsBank | 76c | 505.26$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked DN Freecs | 26c | 341.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…f7dfbacked OKSavingsBank | 72c | 279.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked OKSavingsBank | 73c | 249.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed OKSavingsBank | 74c | 202.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 162 | 64.2%104 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed OKSavingsBank | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DN Freecs | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed DN Freecs | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed OKSavingsBank | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DN Freecs | 31c | 199.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 165.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed OKSavingsBank | 74c | 161.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed DN Freecs | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed OKSavingsBank | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…307ebacked OKSavingsBank | 73c | 120.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked DN Freecs | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked DN Freecs | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OKSavingsBank | 73c | 96.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed DN Freecs | 27c | 89.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed DN Freecs | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed OKSavingsBank | 74c | 80.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked OKSavingsBank | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked DN Freecs | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed OKSavingsBank | 72c | 69.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed OKSavingsBank | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d348backed OKSavingsBank | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked OKSavingsBank | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed OKSavingsBank | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed OKSavingsBank | 75c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed OKSavingsBank | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.