WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcbab5dc6dcf561a9df74dcc09ba51197a42b9b0a7d85e75b1ccc0e2f9abb2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Mystics, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Mystics | 1c | 5,608$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 31c | 2,550$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.5 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Dream | 69c | 2,550$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mystics | 31c | 1,797$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dream | 69c | 1,313$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 48c | 1,246$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.57 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Dream | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Mystics | 60c | 853$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dream | 71c | 846$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 31c | 749.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 68c | 448.46$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mystics | 55c | 420.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dream | 69c | 325.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Dream | 68c | 266$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mystics | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Mystics | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Mystics | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Mystics | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Mystics | 30c | 118.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Mystics | 28c | 100.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mystics | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Mystics | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dream | 72c | 99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mystics | 29c | 97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream | 68c | 88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Dream | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dream | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Dream | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 62c | 29.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Dream | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dream | 59c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dream | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 67c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.