WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13bd0b70dcf3fec9b72f63dda3b85d4a7fc67579396bf57105d4b728dc58094d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Fever, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Storm | 56c | 1,528$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Fever | 44c | 1,427$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Storm | 14c | 1,346$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Storm | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever | 44c | 967.76$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.95 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Storm | 54c | 830.97$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Storm | 20c | 802.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fever | 45c | 755$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.25 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 45c | 698.15$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Storm | 5c | 677.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Storm | 13c | 494.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fever | 72c | 456.52$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Storm | 48c | 360$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 45c | 300.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Fever | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fever | 75c | 259.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Storm | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 46c | 218.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 46c | 216.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Fever | 46c | 209.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Storm | 59c | 109.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Fever | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Fever | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Fever | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Fever | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Storm | 55c | 89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 61c | 59.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fever | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…7570backed Storm | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Storm | 28c | 39.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Storm | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Fever | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Fever | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Storm | 38c | 29.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Fever | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Fever | 46c | 23.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.