Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C: Kovacevic vs. Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f59ed0ea308cc86deb491f0ffdedcc76331f0249f4741c027744dcf4c87a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Kovacevic, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1012…3a91backed Tiafoe | 68c | 610$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Tiafoe | 72c | 558.29$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tiafoe | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kovacevic | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a7…ff3ebacked Kovacevic | 32c | 485$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…d648backed Kovacevic | 32c | 465$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Kovacevic | 30c | 438.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…2dc5backed Tiafoe | 68c | 390$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tiafoe | 71c | 322.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tiafoe | 72c | 318$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Kovacevic | 32c | 312.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tiafoe | 62c | 243$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kovacevic | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kovacevic | 43c | 231.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Tiafoe | 57c | 204.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Tiafoe | 67c | 182.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Tiafoe | 66c | 150.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Tiafoe | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Kovacevic | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Tiafoe | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Kovacevic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kovacevic | 34c | 95.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Kovacevic | 26c | 82.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Tiafoe | 67c | 75.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kovacevic | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Tiafoe | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…3ca0backed Kovacevic | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kovacevic | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Tiafoe | 77c | 29.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Tiafoe | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.